Running back Chris Wells of the Arizona Cardinals was a first-round draft pick, 31st overall, in 2009 who always seemed to be on the injured list year after year. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Most overrated players in Madden 21 J.J. Watt, defensive end, Houston Texans. Gaskin is an easy fade at his current price. There's zero appeal here. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Taysom Hill had nine carries from inside the opponent's five-yard line to Kamara's 15 in 2021 and won't be removed from the Saints' red-zone plans any time soon. Andrew Davenport: I've had ample opportunities to draft Gaskin and just haven't been able to do it. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. NFL career: 1988-91, all with Cincinnati Bengals (4 seasons) Statistics/16 games: 659.5 rush yards/4.6 yards per . In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. 3 back on the depth chart before the first preseason game. Gordon has always been a runner that needs a large workload to produce fantasy stats. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Ryan Hester: He might not keep his job, his offense probably wont be great, hes not explosive, and hes on the wrong side of the running back career arc. And while Johnson sits atop the Houston depth chart, Phillip Lindsay, Mark Ingram II, and perhaps Rex Burkhead will factor in as well. Montgomery hasn't turned a corner in his career arc. Yeah, us, too. Some running backs, such as Chris Johnson this year, are a full 2.0 YPC over their offensive lines ADY. Optimizer Quick Start, Percent Rostered Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - TheTopTens Unfortunately, he needs to stay hyper-efficient on the ground to stay fantasy relevant, as Ravens running backs have gotten a 70/30 carry split with Jackson over the last three years. McKissic. The only defense in that group to finish above the bottom quartile in Football Outsiders' rush defense DVOA metric was Green Bay, who allowed the seventh-most fantasy points per game to enemy running backs last season. Projections, Get The Most Out Of Your Alvin Kamara, New Orleans | Consensus Rankings RB3 | Consensus Projections RB2. Emmitt Smith 4. "Matthew Berry, ESPN. Back up Share project Close 2022 hyundai sonata limited interior; what is birkenstock oiled leather; bates high gloss duty oxford; most overrated running backs of all time. I feel like most drafting Gordon right now are doing it on name value, but he now has plenty of competition with Javonte Williams and Mike Boone as priority adds this offseason. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. Not to mention I expect this offense to throw the ball a lot more than last year due to the addition of Russell Wilson and new Head Coach Nathaniel Hackett. So as we can see, Bettis had about the 9th best run blocking offensive line in the NFL during his career. For both Cleveland backs to be values, the team would have to produce vintage New Orleans-level production for its backs, or one of them would have to get injured to allow the other to see an increased workload. Gibson has also been struggling with fumbles in training camp, which have drawn the ire of the Commanders coaching staff. The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Mike Davis, Atlanta | Consensus Rankings RB24 | Consensus Projections RB23. Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. Though volume is important in fantasy football, Harris will likely struggle behind his offensive line and may not garner an elite share of red zone touches. They might be lucky to win three games, which means limited touchdown potential for Johnson and a shortage of run-friendly game scripts. Gaskin has missed long periods through injury in his first two seasons in the league. They did not pick up his fifth-year option and took Zamir White in the fourth round of the NFL Draft. But the Ravens are a Super Bowl contender and won't veer from the system that's gotten them to the peak. History and time have helped make Perry one of the most overrated defensive players of all time. The Eagles consistently added to the depth chart this offseason with Kerryon Johnson, Jordan Howard, Kenneth Gainwell added to Boston Scott. I'm out. And Hill is only touchable due to the cheat code rushing factor for quarterbacks. Jeff Bell: Gibson finished fourth in rushing attempts. Martin is one of the best running backs of all time because he blended good ability with outstanding durability and versatility. Vegas used other backs last year and pigeonholed Jacobs as a two-down grinder. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. Search my work, about me, and maybe -if I ever get around to it - my blog. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders to be an every-down back. But the Broncos re-signed Melvin Gordon III, which cannot be interpreted as anything short of a re-commitment to a 50/50 committee. Miles Sanders, Philadelphia | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB21. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. Matt Waldman: Many of my peers at Footballguys are worshippers of draft capital as a predictor of talent. Andy Hicks: It is hard for an undrafted rookie running back to succeed in the NFL. There isnt much to like here. most overrated running backs of all time The problem is it never really felt like we stopped moving Edmonds up the board even after the signing of James Conner. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. Tevin Coleman is one of those veteran thorns in the sides of young backs to garner touches. While he can certainly put up some strong fantasy weeks, the savvier move would be to wait for the younger backs later in the draft. Lineup Builder Quick Start, Multi-Lineup There is no upside with drafting Gaskin this high. The Lessons of Barry Sanders - Grantland However, Melvin Gordon III returning is the lynchpin for tepid upside expectations outside of a Gordon injury. 24 Overrated RBs. Nyheim Hines is one of the premier pass-catching options, and Marlon Mack's health is a wildcard in the Colts' backfield rotation. The Commanders drafted Brian Robinson Jr on Day 2 of the draft, a bigger back who excelled in pass protection. His knee injury involved multiple ligament tears, and the Giants are likely to bring him along slowly. The notorious "Frankenstein" graphic did him no favors. It looked like Williams would consolidate the lead role in the offseason. Weve seen flashes of Raheem Mostert over the last couple of years feasting in this offense, but its sporadic and challenging to predict. Swift relied heavily on touchdown production for his fantasy numbers. Sigmund Bloom: One year after the signing of Gordon indicated a lack of faith in Phillip Lindsay -- that bore out with Lindsay being allowed to leave in free agency this offseason -- the Broncos moved up in the second round to take Javonte Williams, indicating a lack of faith in Gordon. No one can take away his heroics stepping in for Christian McCaffrey, and he was rewarded in the offseason when Atlanta presumably signed him to be new coach Arthur Smith's feature back. Every Prem club's most overrated player and Arsenal fans must end Gordon caught only 32 passes last year, and outside of three games where he scored two touchdowns, he was a mediocre fantasy back. J.K. McKissic, Washington | Consensus Rankings RB47 | Consensus Projections RB45. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Its a knock on his offensive line. Cam Akers, LA Rams | Consensus Rankings RB12 | Consensus Projections RB13. Edgerrin James 17. Thats the first thing we notice. I think this is pretty unfair to call him the most overrated. 1 Tom Brady Thomas Edward Patrick Brady, Jr., is an American football quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers of the National Football League. Jalen Hurts will inevitably take away carries and goal-line rushes from the backfield, capping any true remaining upside Sanders may have been clinging to. When we go into advanced stats, we can tell even more about Bettis: * Note: The stats are Bettis averages per season, not total career. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. Most Overrated QB: Tom Brady 1 of 6 Baltimore Ravens: Most underrated, overrated players of all time Adrian Peterson 10. . Curtis Martin 11. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Most overrated qbs of all time | Acrylic The 100 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time - Bleacher Report Ben Cummins: Henrys past two monster years were with offensive coordinator Arthur Smith, the head coach in Atlanta. . When you select Dobbins in your drafts, you are banking on the hyper-efficiency of his limited touches to continue. Has no highlight reel. His fantasy value came in catching 59 receptions, which won't happen in Arthur Smith's offense that doesn't throw to the tailbacks much. Jadeveon Clowney pegged as Cleveland Browns most overrated player I just see way too much downside to take a risk on lightning striking twice. David Johnson, Houston | Consensus Rankings RB27 | Consensus Projections RB31. Without the volume, he is hard to use. Victoria Geary: The Ravens have "made it a point of emphasis" to get Dobbins more looks in the passing game for 2021, but we know coach speak isn't very trustworthy during the offseason. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. Chad Parsons: Sanders stands out in the mid-teens of the running back draft pecking order most with his odds of being a high-impact option. Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Byars is the only running back in modern NFL history taken in the first 10 picks of the draft who had at least 800 career carries and a per-carry average of 3.6 yards or worse. 21 RB Sleepers. Phil Alexander: Beware of drafting running backs based solely on their perceived opportunity. Fred Taylor The 4.29 ADY by the Steelers offensive line would be tied for 8th place in the NFL in 2009. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. He feasted on unsustainable opportunities and a soft schedule. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. Theyre going to be one of the worst teams in NFL History. Expect a more even split in touches than many are forecasting and potentially for Brown to earn the lead role. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. Adding another trip around the sun and competition from two young, capable running backs is the recipe for the bottom to fall out for Gordon. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. Marcus Allen 15. McKissic on your fantasy squad, but his outlier of a 2020 season is going to cause some to reach for him heading into 2021. Andy Hicks: D'Andre Swift had a patchy rookie season. Jonathan Morris: I can't endorse a high pick on Javonte Williams when he will yield a lot of work to Melvin Gordon III. I understand the upside, but I don't want to take a huge miss if I'm drafting in Week 1. Jonathan Morris: Gibson was already someone I was worried about getting enough volume to be drafted at his current ADP. Chad Parsons: The price has vaulted up on Javonte Williams after a quality rookie season. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. Victoria Geary: We should not steer clear of Harris completely for the 2021 season, but we should lower our expectations for a locked-and-loaded RB1 finish. Backs who will receive bigger shares of their teams usage are going after Chubb. Sigmund Bloom: Brian Robinson Jr had an excellent preseason debut, while Antonio Gibson fumbled *again*, so this is trending in the wrong direction for Gibson's 2022 redraft value. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Johnson is the incumbent with the largest contract, and yet he's being downshifted in favor of Mark Ingram II -- who did his best work in Baltimore, where Texans head coach David Culley comes from -- and Phillip Lindsay. O.J. Miami will use a committee as none of the backs on the roster can handle the lead-back role. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. Add in the fact that offense is unlikely to provide as many goal-line chances as the other high-end RB1s, and Kamara has plenty of factors going against him. At cost, D'Andre Swift and others are better combinations of floor and ceiling. Take Carter later as a committee back with some possible upside, but he's being overvalued by drafters right now. James Robinson, Jacksonville | Consensus Rankings RB28 | Consensus Projections RB29. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Taylor can be a rock-solid option and still be pecked away with Hines and Mack enough to be more in the RB10-15 range. Nobody should ever try to run like Barry Sanders, because they will never be Barry Sanders. Yes, but it doesn't feel like he'll be a top-10 type of running back, even in the Chiefs' potent offense. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. It probably comes off as harsh to call Montgomery one of the most overrated running backs of the past decade, but he is. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Phil Alexander: Drew Brees is arguably the best screen game quarterback in NFL history. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. 15 Best Running Backs of All-Time; Henry is one of my favorite players in the league, but there are preferable first-round picks for me in 2021. Jerome Bettis 16. The Eagles also resigned Jordan Howard and added Kerryon Johnson to the backfield, exhibiting their lack of trust in Sanders as an every-down back. Drew Davenport: The memories of Johnson dominating in Arizona are still following him into this offseason. Jamal Lewis-- RB, 2000-06 There have been seven running backs who have rushed for 2,000 yards in a season, and Jamal Lewis is by far the least memorable of the bunch. Dave Kluge: Sure, youre not giving up any crazy draft capital to get J.D. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Therefore, we asked our staff to look through the Top 150 and identify players that should underperform their draft position. Take a chance on a committee back in the same range who might emerge into a starter or become one due to injury. If Gordon's injury is extended, Williams could be appropriately priced, but until there is more information, he is an avoid at cost. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option.
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