There are indications that weak cutoff systems under the raging jet could bring more precipitation to Tucson than say even Phoenix, but the amount just doesnt look so high, but bears watching for that area sometime mid-month. The average wind speed was 8.1 mph which is slightly below the average was 8.2 mph. My model is showing drier than normal conditions for most of California, majorly drier than normal for Southern California than Northern. NWS National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration OnlyInYourState may earn compensation through affiliate links in this article. Keep in mind this outlook is an overall three-month trend. PHOENIX (3TV/CBS 5) Look for one last, mostly sunny day before an unsettled weather pattern arrives for the next few days in Arizona.Light winds and high clouds can be expected this morning . In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. The recently released NOAA U.S. Winter Outlook made the predictions Thursday, bringing the news that widespread extreme drought is expected to persist throughout the West. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 83 on the 14th to a low of 26 on the 3rd. Long-Range Weather Forecast for 2022 | The Old Farmer's Almanac Well, until it's August. Another quiet period followed through the 18th before returning to the daily threat of showers and thunderstorms as moisture lingered across the area through the end of the month. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Expect a few rainy days but usually not more than 3. December 2021 Weather Pattern Forecast Outlook For Southern California; December Arctic Blasts and Storms, FACEBOOK PAGES TO JOIN! With that in mind, let's dig into the month-by-month details and follow up with some of the factors driving this forecast. What is the chance of rain in Arizona in January? This is a quite a difference from a year ago when the airport recorded 13.84" of rain through the end of October. Extended Winter Weather Forecast for 2022-2023 Goes to the 'Extreme' AccuWeather 2022-2023 US winter forecast | AccuWeather Temperature extremes ranged from a high of 105 on May 15th to a low of 33 on March 8th. Normal rainfall for December 0.96". Nearly 10,000 power outages were reported in Arizona Wednesday as a winter storm passed through the state, one of many places in the U.S. dealing with winter 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. The monthly average temperature of 84.7 is just under 2 above normal and ranks as the 4th warmest September on record, tied with 2010. Questions? Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely from a tenth of an inch to 1" with localized areas recording between 1" and 1.60". November climate data across southeast Arizona. Wildfires send smoke as temperatures near 100 degrees. The video covers both precipitation and temperature predictions, polar vortex, arctic blasts, typical snowfall, and regions that will see wamr and dry conditions for winter 2022 - 2023. A couple of weak weather systems moved across the area on the 28th through 30th bringing the area another shot of valley rain and mountain snow. No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! The new year began on a wet note when a winter storm impacted the area as the calendar turned from 2021 to 2022. At least a somewhat colder February is also possible in the Pacific Northwest, Northern California and the central Plains. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. Your California Privacy Rights / Privacy Policy. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 15th driest January through October period on record. As if unprecedented flash flooding during this years monsoon season wasnt enough to deal with, it looks like Arizona might get a little reprieve from extreme weather in the winter. The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. It begins just at the backend of Arizonas monsoon season, which officially comes to a close on Sept. 30. The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Whether the polar vortex stays strong or weakens at some point in winter can definitely impact the forecast. A high minimum temperature of 75 on the 27th set a new daily record, eclipsing the old record of 73 from 1963 & 1989. Some of the storms produced heavy rain, especially on the 4th, 5th, 6th & 8th. #azwx #cawx https://t.co/G7FkHhFGSt. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. temperatures from Washington and northern . Waters off New England had 2nd warmest year on record in 2022 A Strong 2024 La Nina and a new "Cold Pacific Ocean Phase" will usher in Dangerous . There were six days of triple digit high temperatures which is slightly above normal. CLICK HERE TO GO, The following articles were talked about in this write-up, November 5, 2021 Equal chances use the map provided below. If you are NOT receiving the e-mails and are a full member, your account is either expired or you need to troubleshoot. ARIZONA WEATHER FORCE MAIN: Arizona Weather Force Office Main Page For updates. The periodical says it. Here are some temperature highlights for the month: The monthly average temperature of 61.7 is two-tenths of a degree below normal and ranks as the 24th warmest March on record, tied with 2019. Coming off one of the WETTEST years on record in 2021 where the airport recorded 15.19", the outlook called for enhanced probabilities for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for the remainder of the year. Spring ended on a streak of 63 consecutive days with no rain being recorded at the International airport. Three temperature records (one high & two warm lows) were set or tied. Arizona expects wet, active monsoon season in 2022 - The Arizona Republic Copyright 2021 Scripps Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. One daily temperature record was set. Our Office; Monsoon; Monsoon Safety; SE Arizona drought page; . This is the second consecutive October to be below normal. National Weather Service NWS Tucson Arizona 520 North Park Ave, Suite 304 Tucson, AZ 85719 (520) 670-6526 Comments? The Tucson International airport, the official recording location in Tucson, recorded 4.94" which ranks as the 46th driest monsoon on record. Check out some of our favorite places to go camping in Arizona for inspiration. ajgarrison - Flickr The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, has recorded 5.61" is just under 3" below normal and ranks as the 13th driest January to September on record. On the 6th, the 20th & 21st and the 28th & 29th. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. First 2022 Seasonal LONG RANGE Winter Forecasts from NOAA . On average, the Tucson airport records two days with thunderstorms. The average yearly temperature is below normal for the calendar year through the end of March for the first time since 2017 and the fourth time this century (2001 & 2013). January 2, 2022 at 7:59 am January 2022 Weather Pattern Forecast For Arizona; Opposite of December 2021, But Colder by Weather Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. There should be enough snow on the ground still if you're looking to hit the slopes, but any further lashing will (hopefully) hold off for a little while longer. Multiple locations were found. What's in the Farmers' Almanac forecast for this winter? Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. Looking ahead into February The Climate Prediction Center forecasts a 47% chance of above normal temperatures and a 45% chance of below normal precipitation. Over the last 14 days there was only one day that was above normal. Prognostic Discussion for Long-Lead Seasonal Outlooks. Click Here To Join The Season Tier, Join The Main Arizona Weather Force Facebook Group (50 percent delivery time) You can join the main AZWF page as well through that group. 2023 www.azcentral.com. Areas from the Gulf Coast to the Southern Plains and mountain West are most favored to see above-average temperatures for the entire three-month winter period from December through February, according to an outlook released Thursday by The Weather Company, an IBM Business, and Atmospheric G2. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. Fetch the Scottsdale, Arizona daily observations from AerisWeather. An statistical oddity occurred in 2022 in that not one daily rainfall record was set at the official recording site. The metro area for most of the month remained under a favorable monsoon flow pattern that brought daily round of showers and thunderstorms which produced strong gusty winds, heavy rain and flash flooding. Or rather when will it finally feel like fall? The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 57% chance that they will end up above normal and a 10% chance that they will end up below normal. According to its forecast map, Arizona's fall theme will be cool with "decent precipitation." Peter Geiger, the editor of the Farmers' Almanac, said there wasn't much particularly interesting. The MAIN PAGE of this website has every alert/article issued at current. April climate data across southeast Arizona. The wather in Arizona in February can vary between cold and nice weather days. The water year rainfall is at the half-way mark with a paltry 2.03" being recorded. According to the Farmers' Almanac (in publication since 1818), states in . On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. "We continue the remarkable drive toward a third consecutive La Nia winter, a relatively rare occurrence in our recorded history, with the last three-peat occurring from 1998-2000," said Dr. Todd Crawford, Vice President of Meteorology at Atmospheric G2. Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. The average yearly temperature of 60.6 is a half of a degree ABOVE normal and ranks as the 12th warmest on record, tied with 1996, through the end of April. Severe thunderstorms hit portions on the metro area on the 21st and 26th. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration By Paul Rusnak | September 11, 2022. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". Since we never quite know what to expect, this upcoming season couldn't possibly catch us off-guard right? The last March to record above normal rainfall was in 2004 when 1.12" was recorded. Click on the images below for the year, monthly and seasonal snapshots! Farmers' Almanac predicting extreme winter forecast for most of US Outside of work, you can likely find her curled up on the sofa with a hot cup of coffee, watching a crime TV show or scary movie. The best hidden gems and little known destinations - straight to your inbox. Learn everything you need to know about the Grand Canyon State's ever-changing forecasts here. Overall, the almanac says it will be wetter than normal, the precipitation beginning in October and extending right through November. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. Get the latest articles, videos, and news about Washington State on Flipboard. . But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. With stories from American West, Western Washington State, King County (Wash.), Seattle, Pacific Northwest, Eastern Washington State, Sports, Washington State University, College Sports. Detailed Weather Forecast for February 8 in Az Zubayr, Mufazat al Barah, Iraq - temperature, wind, atmospheric pressure, humidity and precipitations - World-Weather.info . The February outlook for the area, issued by the Climate Prediction Center on January 31st, called for a 47% chance that temperatures would be above normal & 20% chance that temperatures would be below normal. The 1981-2010 climate normal period was used from the late 2011 to early 2021. 830 AM EST Thu Feb 16 2023. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 CPC forecasts, thanks to weakening La Nia conditions in the equatorial Pacific Ocean, probabilities leaning for below normal rainfall through the Spring season then equal chances for below, near or above normal rainfall for most the remainder of the year. Arizona Winter Weather Outlook While the Southwest will likely escape the brunt of the onslaught of winter, we certainly arent in the clear either. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. The monthly average temperature of 54.0 is 1.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 25th warmest December on record, tied with 1995. The bottom line, according to Crawford, is this eruption isn't expected to be a significant influence on this winter's weather. BOOKMARK THE MAIN WEBSITE BY CLICKING HERE. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. This is the least amount in a year since there was ten in 2008. Winter Outlook 2022-23 Has Colder Risks For North, East Winter- It's Coming! In other words, it will be cold in the area. Winter, 2022. View detailed forecast, WeatherTAB 2023. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. Calendar overview of Months Weather Forecast. The 2021-22 water year ended up on the dry side with 6.97" being reported at the airport. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. An very odd quirk happened this November when you compare the daily highs this year versus last year. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. That contrasts sharply with a likely warmer-than-usual February along the northern Gulf Coast, including Florida. Visit the Farmers Almanac website or Facebook page to learn more about the forecast. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . Winter Weather Forecast for 2022 - 2023 | From Direct Weather According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The Winter seasonal forecast for the area, issued November 18th, called for a 41% chance of above normal temperatures & a 48% chance of below normal precipitation. Additionally the airport monthly total extended the streak of below normal rainfall for March to "18" straight. Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). No rain was recorded across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS. Arizona Weather in Tucson Weather in Tucson in December 2022 Tucson Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. Last winter, Boston finished the season with. The seasonal average temperature of 55.3 goes into the record books as the 13th warmest on record, tied with Winter 1942-1943 & last winter. Southern Arizona is a mixed bag in the winter sometimes you can get a nice, mild winter or a chilly, snowy one! No matter how you like your winter, youre sure to find it in Arizona. The airport needs to record around 0.37" of rain during December to escape being ranked in the top 10 driest years on record. A record cool high temperature was set on the 24th with a high of 67 breaking the record of 68 from 1936 & 1978. Combined with last years August total of 3.85", this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be above normal. "Seasonal outlooks help communities prepare for what is likely to come in the months ahead and minimize weather's impacts on lives and livelihoods," NOAA said. Tucson monthly climate reports for 2022 - National Weather Service There should be no reason you shouldnt be informed. The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. Meanwhile, the southern U.S. is expected to have a. Questions? One exception was the pandemic year of 2020, when travel all but came to a. The weather in Arizona in January is good. Farmers' Almanac Winter Forecast For Tennessee 2022-2023 - OnlyInYourState La Nia refers to cooler-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the central and east-central Pacific Ocean, near the equator. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded only 0.81" which is around a half an inch below normal and ranks as the 53rd driest September on record, tied with 1949. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Weather in Phoenix in November 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather You can go traditional with it and check out some truly delightful Christmas towns in Arizona, or you can rent a cabin in the woods and forget about life for a while as you watch snow gently fall. Arizona weather in January 2024 | Arizona 14 day weather Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. The monthly average temperature of 54.3 is seven-tenths of a degree above normal and ranks as the 17th warmest January on record. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. United States and Canada 2022 Winter Outlook Predictions - global Gone are the ridiculously hot days, replaced with pleasant, mild ones perfect for hitting the trails in places you generally shouldnt hike in the summer (Phoenix comes to mind). The table below shows the breakdown for highs, low maximums and high minimums. The cooling of these waters can have an atmospheric domino effect that influences weather patterns across the globe. Apr. The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. This ranks as the 13th driest Fall on record. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . Rainfall occurred across the metro area over three time periods during the month. The 30-year-old Musgrove is coming off the best season of his career and a stellar postseason run that included 7.0 dominant innings in a winner-take-all Wild Card Game 3 against the Mets in New York. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. The only significant difference between this winter's outlook and the outlook for 2020-21 is that the chance of above-normal temperature is about 5-10% less than it was last winter, likely the result of somewhat higher above-normal temperature thresholds due to the change in long-term averages described above. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. "The eruption of Tonga back in January will likely not cool the climate, given it was an underwater volcano that ejected water vapor, rather than particulates, into the stratosphere; on the contrary, given water vapor is a greenhouse gas, it may have a warming impact on the climate over the next few years," Crawford explained. The drought classification for the area stood at D2 (Severe Drought). These drought conditions developed after a drier-than-normal 2020 monsoon season and a dry 2020/2021 winter season. Dating back to 1910, every year has had a least one daily rainfall record be broken. You can enjoy epic winter activities like Arizona Snow Bowl, and you can even go sledding iFarmers' Almanac winter forecastn Arizona (or snow tubing in Arizona) too. Click on the image to the right to see how 2022 compared to the historical record. U.S. Winter Outlook: Warmer, drier South with ongoing La Nina Toggle navigation. Add the current city. Farmers' Almanac forecasts a cool fall, November snow for northern Arizona The last time back-to-back Octobers' were BELOW normal was back in the 1980's when there was a string of SEVEN straight BELOW normal Octobers' from 1980 to 1986. The average yearly temperature, through the end of October, of 74.4 is 0.9 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. Please select one of the following: Tucson, AZ Standard Radar (low bandwidth), NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Please try another search. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 For the first time since 2004, the average Fall temperature was below normal. Colder weather is predicted to come in between Nov. 16 and 19 and settle in for good come Nov. 24 to 27. Give Light and the People Will Find Their Own Way. In a couple of words: its nice! How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. FORECAST: Rain and snow to start 2022! - KNXV This is in sharp contrast to the previous water year which was rather wet with the airport recording 14.23". MAIN WEBSITE: Dont forget. Above-normal precipitation is forecast in part of the Ohio Valley, an area that could pick up above-normal snowfall if temperatures remain low enough. The average yearly temperature, through the end of June, of 68.5 is 1.3 above normal and ranks as the 7th warmest on record. The arrows point to the cooler than average water in the eastern equatorial Pacific Ocean, indicative of La Nia. The National Weather Service in Phoenix predicts that Arizona is going to have a very wet and active monsoon season this summer, with nearly a 70% chance of precipitation expected to reach near. Winter could pound the Northeast with a vengeance starting in mid-December before potentially intensifying in January,. 3rd Coldest January- February on Record in 2021. Feb March 2023 . We say absolutely! NOAA NCEI State Climate Summary for Arizona, 2022; Local Programs. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? In long range forecast, Los Angeles is used as a base. The March-April-May (MAM) 2023 temperature outlook favors below-normal. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. SUMMARY OF THE OUTLOOK FOR NON-TECHNICAL USERS. If youre planning to visit Arizona in the near future, we highly recommend that you review the 14 day weather forecast for Arizona before you arrive. Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 (Arizona) - Detailed Weather Forecast for a Month World United States Arizona Weather in Phoenix Weather in Phoenix in December 2022 Phoenix Weather Forecast for December 2022 is based on statistical data. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 103 on the 6th to a low of 65 on the 17th. The 2022 Farmers' Almanac Winter Forecast For Arizona Is Out IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? The Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), a well-established and innovative inter- and transdisciplinary climate research team, is looking for a Program Manager to join our team. Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded a trace of rain which is well below normal and ranks as the 16th driest November on record. It begins just at the backend. On top of that, conditions change so rapidly from week to week that making predictions is as good as visiting a fortune teller. Winter temperatures are once again expected to be split between a warmer than average South and colder than average North, with colder risks in parts of the East. This ranks as the 11th driest water year period (October 1st to September 30th) on record. The forecast for precipitation is a 24% chance that they will be above normal and a 43% chance that they will end up below normal. When Does It End? The upcoming El-Nino phase should make problems with drought mainly in the grain and corn belt in the USA in the second half of the season in 2022 and in 2023, while the Agriculture stress index in the southern USA should be more favorable, contrary to the years 2020, 2021 and the first half of 2022. US Dept of Commerce Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. Support local journalism. This is the first time since March 1973 that every daily high temperature of a month was cooler than what occurred one year earlier. Dry conditions prevailed from the 11th to the 14th before an upper level low moved across the area bringing scattered showers, isolated thunderstorms and small hail on the 15th & 16th.